I know everything that can be written has been written about the great Mare but she just fascinates me and trying to pinpoint her greatness is difficult. Her physical attributes are in no way exceptional (size, speed, power etc) what I have noticed is when she lets down her action is so quick and correct, it never falters even under extreme pressure, as Bowman said she is so balanced and her will to win is like no other. I hope they realise when she has had enough!!
Over the last few weeks our average rating has been 4.20 which is in speculative territory (25% chance of winning) Most of the raters under R3.0 have had an opening price to short to accept. JR will not accept unders! No exceptions. Dont no how many occasions we really like a runner’s chance of winning but find the price too short. The bookies set their prices to 20% unders on av, this is their winning advantage. The punter has to do the opposite to get an edge, they definitely don’t get it right all the time!
Betting to Ratings
Although the MoneySwift formula wins on POT consistently my prefered betting plan is the ratings back staking plan I think putting more money on runners with a better chance of winning makes a lot of sense as displayed on
Saturday with 4 runners rated 2.5-2nd, 2.5-1st 3.60, 2.5-1st3.30 and 2.0-1st 3.00 returning an overall 7.37 unit profit betting to ratings!
You must look at the statistical breakdown page which gives you a good understanding of ratings to winners strike rates etc
ratings under 3.00 are winning at 57% strike, av div 2.84, +17.50 units!
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